Archive for July, 2011

Carbon Tax Update
July 28, 2011

Howdy All,

I hope that this post finds you well.

Attached is a recent update we prepared in relation the Government’s proposed Carbon Tax. While we have purposefully remained a-political, it is difficult to see how this proposal is nothing but a veiled attempt to redistribute income and wealth. How this will ultimately benefit environment remains a mystery for all concerned.

That said we would welcome your thoughts on the matter.

RetireCare Carbon Tax Update

Bidding you all a great day

Luke Eres

Lessons from the Eurozone Debt Crisis
July 19, 2011

Hello All,

I trust that we find you all well.

Today I submit for your perusal an article written by Michael Collins, an investment commentator at Fidelity Investments.

In this article, Michael discusses a number of lessons as well as outlining a compelling case as to why it may pay for smaller nations to default as well.

Lets not forget that the eurozone debt crisis has been largely caused by French and German banks underestimating the risks of lending to peripheral European economies. As it stands the weaker nations are being asked to bear the brunt of the pain but if we looks at it logically it is only fair that these banks too bear the pain for their silly ways. Enjoy.

Lessons from the Eurozone Debt Crisis

Bidding you all a magnificent day ahead

Luke Eres

Happy New Financial Year – Rates on Hold for July
July 5, 2011

Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision

 At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 4.75 per cent.

The global economy is continuing its expansion, but the pace of growth slowed in the June quarter. The supply-chain disruptions from the Japanese earthquake and the dampening effects of high commodity prices on income and spending in major countries have both contributed to the slowing. The banking and sovereign debt problems in Europe have also added to uncertainty and volatility in financial markets over recent months.

A key question is whether this more moderate pace of growth will continue. Commodity prices have generally softened of late, though they remain at very high levels. Despite the challenging international environment, the central scenario for the world economy envisaged by most forecasters remains one of growth at, or above, average over the next couple of years. A number of countries have tightened monetary policy but, overall, global financial conditions remain accommodative and underlying rates of inflation have tended to move higher.

 Australia’s terms of trade are now at very high levels and national income has been growing strongly, though conditions vary significantly across industries. Investment in the resources sector is picking up strongly in response to high levels of commodity prices and the outlook remains very positive. A number of service sectors are also expanding at a solid pace. In other areas, cautious behaviour by households and the high level of the exchange rate are having a noticeable dampening effect. The impetus from earlier Australian Government spending programs is now also abating, as had been intended.

A gradual recovery from the floods and cyclones over the summer is taking place, though the resumption of coal production in flooded mines continues to proceed more slowly than initially expected. The recovery will boost output over the months ahead, and there will also be a mild boost to demand from the broader rebuilding efforts as they get under way, but growth through 2011 is now unlikely to be as strong as earlier forecast. Over the medium term, overall growth is still likely to be at trend or higher, if the world economy grows as expected.

Growth in employment has moderated over recent months and the unemployment rate has been little changed, near 5 per cent. Most leading indicators suggest that this slower pace of employment growth is likely to continue in the near term. Reports of skills shortages remain confined, at this point, to the resources and related sectors. After the significant decline in 2009, growth in wages has returned to rates seen prior to the downturn.

Credit growth remains modest. Signs have continued to emerge of some greater willingness to lend and business credit has expanded this year after a period of contraction. Growth in credit to households, on the other hand, has slowed. Most asset prices, including housing prices, have also softened over recent months.

Year-ended CPI inflation is likely to remain elevated in the near term due to the extreme weather events earlier in the year. However, as the temporary price shocks dissipate, CPI inflation is expected to be close to target over the next 12 months. In underlying terms, inflation has been in the bottom half of the target range, though a gradual increase is expected over time.

At today’s meeting, the Board judged that the current mildly restrictive stance of monetary policy remained appropriate. In future meetings, the Board will continue to assess carefully the evolving outlook for growth and inflation.